Rational Optimism

Dmytro Krasun

You won’t find a person more optimistic than me. Peace, AGI, and prosperity will come, and humans will figure out everything eventually.

But optimism doesn’t mean being careless.

I assume inflation, grocery prices to rise. Wars may last longer than we expect. AI-related revenues for my product may decline, with increased AI expenses.

I prepare.

I pay for my domains years ahead. I keep extra cash for servers. I invest in ETFs and bonds but also hold cash.

I am not afraid. But I am likely losing the upside of risking too much.

However, I just want to keep doing what I love for decades. Money becomes secondary after a certain point.

If you have found what you actually care about, you are already lucky. Make sure not to lose it because you were unprepared.